# Horizon: Utopia or Dystopia

> Horizon is a real-time global trajectory index monitoring whether human civilization is progressing towards utopia (+100) or declining into dystopia (-100). It blends 19 structural benchmarks with automated sentiment decay analysis of live international news feeds.

Official website: https://horizon.semplicemente.io
Full Technical & Mathematical Specification: https://horizon.semplicemente.io/llms-full.txt

## Quick Summary

- **Index Range**: From -100 (Maximum Dystopian Collapse) to +100 (Maximum Utopian Progress), where 0 represents the historical steady state.
- **Components**:
  - **Structural Baseline (60% weight)**: 19 peer-reviewed long-term indicators from international institutions (WMO, WHO, SIPRI, V-Dem, World Bank, UNESCO, Stanford AI Index).
  - **Dynamic Live Events (40% weight)**: Real-time RSS feeds from 12 global news organizations (BBC, Euronews, Al Jazeera, Nature, Phys.org, Carbon Brief, CNBC, etc.) ingested periodically. Each event is scored for polarity (-1 to +1) and weight (0.6 to 2.6) and decays linearly over 30 days.

## 7 Core Civilization Categories

1. **Climate**: Atmospheric CO2 concentration (ppm), global temperature anomaly (°C), biodiversity living planet index, renewable electricity mix share.
2. **Peace**: Active armed conflicts worldwide, operational nuclear warheads.
3. **Democracy**: Percentage of global population living under autocracies, count of imprisoned journalists.
4. **Health**: Global life expectancy, under-5 child mortality rate, undernourished population, childhood basic vaccine coverage.
5. **Technology**: AI capital & research investment, global internet connectivity percentage.
6. **Economy**: Global extreme poverty rate, top 1% wealth share, real GDP growth.
7. **Society**: Out-of-school children, youth psychological distress rates.

## Public Data Access (Read-Only)

- `GET https://horizon.semplicemente.io/api/index`: Returns current composite score, structural score, event score, momentum (30-day change), verdict, category breakdown, top drivers, and 400-day historical snapshot time-series.
- `GET https://horizon.semplicemente.io/api/events`: Paginated and filtered events archive (`category`, `direction`, `origin`, `limit`, `offset`).
- `GET https://horizon.semplicemente.io/api/indicators`: Current status of the 19 structural benchmark indicators.

## Key Links & Documentation

- [Horizon Home](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/): Live interactive gauge, dial, trajectory chart, category breakdown, and live breaking ticker.
- [Trajectory Over Time](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/#trajectory-chart): 400-day comparative chart.
- [Key Drivers](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/#key-drivers): Events with the highest weighted impact over the last 90 days.
- [Structural Indicators](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/#structural-indicators): 19 civilizational benchmarks and sources.
- [Live News Stream](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/#live-events): Real-time news classification and sentiment stream.
- [Methodology](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/#methodology): Mathematical formulas, weighting system, and sentiment decay curve.
- [Full LLM Specification](https://horizon.semplicemente.io/llms-full.txt): In-depth documentation for LLMs and autonomous agents.